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NFL Team Props Article

Week 1: Dallas Cowboys @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0) face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0-0) at Raymond James Stadium on Thursday for Week 1 of the NFL.

The Buccaneers are favored to win, currently marked as 6.5-point favorites. The Cowboys had a 5-11-0 ATS record last season, while the Buccaneers held a record of 11-8-1.

The total points line is set at 51.0, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 29-22 Tampa Bay. The Cowboys had a 9-7-0 O/U record last season (meaning nine games went over the total points line and seven went under). The Buccaneers had an 11-9-0 O/U record last season.

Offensive/Defensive Splits
Points For

The Cowboys scored 24.7 points per game last season (17th in the league). Comparatively, the Buccaneers averaged +6.1 more at 30.8 points (3rd).

Points Against

Defensively, the Cowboys conceded a whopping 29.6 points per game last season (28th in the league), while the Buccaneers gave up an average of 22.2 points (8th).

Yards For

With an average of 371.8, the Cowboys ranked 14th in the league for total yards per game last season. Comparatively, the Buccaneers ranked 7th with 384.1 yards per game.

Yards Against

In terms of yards conceded, the Cowboys allowed 386.4 per game last season (23rd in the league), an inferior number to the Buccaneers, who allowed an average of 327.1 (6th).

Which team will have the ascendency in the air?
Passing Yards

The Cowboys recorded 260.1 passing yards per game last season (8th in the league). Comparatively, the Buccaneers’ defense gave up 246.6 passing yards per game (21st) last season.

Meanwhile, the Buccaneers recorded 289.1 passing yards per contest last season (2nd in the league), which could make things difficult for a Cowboys defense which conceded 227.6 passing yards per game (11th) during the 2020 season.

Which team holds the advantage on the ground?
Rushing Yards

Looking at the ground game, the Cowboys recorded 111.8 rushing yards per game last season (17th in the league). However, they may struggle to perform to that level against a Buccaneers defense which ranked 1st for opponent rushing yards, allowing 80.6 per contest.

On the other hand, the Buccaneers weren’t particularly effective at rushing the ball last season, recording just 94.9 yards per contest (28th in the league). However, the Cowboys were awful at defending the rush, conceding 158.8 yards per game to rank 31st.

Takeaways

Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Cowboys recorded 23 total takeaways last season (=7th in the league), which was comparable to the Buccaneers, who recorded 25 (=5th).

Giveaways

On offense, the Cowboys recorded 26 total giveaways last season (=27th in the league), while the Buccaneers took better care of the ball, recording 17 (=7th).

Prop Bets

First Touchdown: Dallas is paying +165 to record the first touchdown, while Tampa Bay is paying -185.

  • The Cowboys recorded the first touchdown in four of their 16 games last season.

  • The Buccaneers recorded the first touchdown in 11 of their 20 games last season.

First Scoring Play

Looking to make a bet on the First Scoring Play market?

Last Season
  • Dallas Touchdown 2 / 16 +150
  • Dallas Field Goal 7 / 16 +700
  • Dallas Safety 0 / 16 +2600
  • Tampa Bay Touchdown 7 / 16 -130
  • Tampa Bay Field Goal 3 / 16 +500
  • Tampa Bay Safety 0 / 16 +2600
Safety

The current odds for a safety to be scored are +2000.

  • A safety was scored in three of the Cowboys’ 16 games last season.

  • A safety was scored in one of the Buccaneers’ 20 games last season.

First to 10 points

Dallas is paying +170 to be the first team to reach 10 points, while Tampa Bay is paying -200.

  • The Cowboys were the first to score 10 points in seven of their 16 games last season.

  • The Buccaneers were the first to score 10 points in 11 of their 20 games last season.

Last Time They Met

Dallas recorded a 27-20 victory over Tampa Bay at AT&T Stadium when these teams last met in Week 16, 2018.
Despite being on the losing side, Jameis Winston had a solid outing for the Buccaneers, throwing 34-48 for 336 passing yards and one touchdown.